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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Boiler Bot Battle
Red451
234202.9
2338177.7
292137.1
Blue257
135163.1
6451141.8
1781128.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421288100200500600451257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
202.90.3
201.1→201.4
Auto28.4
Teleop140.7
End33.7
red by 39.8
135
#17
163.10.6
163.8→163.1
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End22.0
Second
2338
#3
177.70.5
175.1→175.5
Auto24.7
Teleop126.3
End24.7
red by 35.9
6451
#12
141.80.6
141.2→141.8
Auto20.6
Teleop107.9
End15.3
Third
292
#20
137.10.3
138.2→137.9
Auto20.0
Teleop100.7
End16.0
red by 8.3
1781
#16
128.70.1
128.8→128.7
Auto16.1
Teleop97.7
End13.5