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Red441
9989106.8
6451141.8
868193.0
Blue181
292137.1
9986110.6
6647155.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312334200250300350400450441181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
193.01.6
194.3192.7
Auto22.4
Teleop147.1
End20.7
red by 37.8
6647
#24
155.21.9
157.1159.0
Auto17.9
Teleop121.4
End14.3
Second
6451
#12
141.80.8
135.4136.2
Auto20.6
Teleop107.9
End15.3
red by 4.8
292
#20
137.10.3
140.9141.1
Auto20.0
Teleop100.7
End16.0
Third
9989
#25
106.80.0
103.4103.4
Auto13.0
Teleop80.9
End10.8
blue by 3.8
9986
#14
110.61.8
109.1111.0
Auto15.6
Teleop87.9
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed