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Red312
868193.0
4926120.8
6956108.8
Blue221
9999126.0
461145.8
5069116.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33329001,0002,0003,0004,0005,000312221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
193.00.3
192.7192.4
Auto22.4
Teleop147.1
End20.7
red by 47.2
461
#11
145.81.1
147.7146.6
Auto17.0
Teleop111.2
End18.8
Second
120.80.4
124.5124.9
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End12.3
blue by 5.2
126.01.7
121.6123.3
Auto17.2
Teleop98.8
End5.2
Third
6956
#26
108.81.0
113.3112.2
Auto16.5
Teleop81.0
End10.1
blue by 7.6
5069
#28
116.40.8
120.0119.2
Auto16.9
Teleop82.9
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed