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Qual 162018 Boiler Bot Battle
Red342
1781128.7
3487149.8
461145.8
Blue330
5069116.4
9989106.8
135163.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32830502004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600342330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#7
149.80.8
147.5→148.3
Auto18.6
Teleop111.2
End20.9
blue by 13.3
135
#17
163.10.9
164.7→165.6
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End22.0
Second
461
#11
145.81.3
146.6→145.3
Auto17.0
Teleop111.2
End18.8
red by 29.4
5069
#28
116.41.0
119.2→118.2
Auto16.9
Teleop82.9
End16.1
Third
1781
#16
128.70.4
126.9→127.3
Auto16.1
Teleop97.7
End13.5
red by 22.0
9989
#25
106.80.4
106.1→106.5
Auto13.0
Teleop80.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed