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Red442
868193.0
1747204.2
5069116.4
Blue140
461145.8
3487149.8
5822141.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43624502006008001,000442140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.20.6
202.2202.8
Auto24.8
Teleop152.1
End26.9
red by 54.4
149.80.1
149.7149.8
Auto18.6
Teleop111.2
End20.9
Second
868
#2
193.00.2
192.4192.6
Auto22.4
Teleop147.1
End20.7
red by 47.2
461
#11
145.80.1
145.7145.8
Auto17.0
Teleop111.2
End18.8
Third
5069
#28
116.40.1
116.1116.2
Auto16.9
Teleop82.9
End16.1
blue by 25.1
5822
#21
141.50.2
141.7141.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.4
End15.2