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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Indiana State Championship
Red301
3940166.2
4272171.4
2867136.2
Blue462
1720149.2
1741182.9
5188159.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3423860200600800301462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#2
171.40.6
170.3→170.9
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
blue by 11.5
1741
#8
182.90.3
183.3→183.0
Auto23.0
Teleop129.0
End29.3
Second
3940
#20
166.20.1
166.0→166.1
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
red by 7.1
5188
#11
159.10.3
156.4→156.7
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
Third
2867
#18
136.20.1
136.1→136.2
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
blue by 12.9
1720
#21
149.20.5
150.7→150.3
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0