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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Indiana State Championship
Red436
1024195.6
71174.3
5484140.5
Blue334
135160.8
234189.0
5010168.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368371200300400500600436334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#7
195.60.3
194.0→194.3
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
red by 6.6
234
#6
189.00.4
188.0→188.3
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
Second
71
#3
174.30.3
172.9→173.1
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
red by 5.4
5010
#15
168.90.4
167.8→168.2
Auto21.9
Teleop128.7
End20.5
Third
5484
#26
140.50.2
139.3→139.5
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
blue by 20.3
135
#12
160.80.3
159.8→160.1
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3