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Qual 152018 Indiana State Championship
Red401
5403163.4
4485149.6
1024195.6
Blue299
7198123.3
3147130.3
234189.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411315100200500600401299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#7
195.60.9
191.8→190.9
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
red by 6.6
234
#6
189.00.4
186.1→186.5
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
Second
5403
#16
163.40.5
165.7→165.2
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
red by 33.1
3147
#27
130.30.3
139.8→139.5
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
Third
4485
#23
149.60.2
146.1→146.3
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
red by 26.3
7198
#24
123.30.7
121.1→120.5
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed