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Red303
3947124.9
5484140.5
5188159.1
Blue321
3176147.7
2171147.2
1741182.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288408100200500600700303321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#11
159.10.7
149.2149.9
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
blue by 23.8
182.90.1
187.2187.2
Auto23.0
Teleop129.0
End29.3
Second
5484
#26
140.51.1
141.1140.0
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
blue by 7.2
147.70.5
148.0147.5
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
Third
3947
#31
124.90.0
125.7125.6
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
blue by 22.3
2171
#13
147.21.2
152.6151.4
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned56%Face the Boss oddsMissed