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Red304
135160.8
6956113.6
5010168.9
Blue395
1024195.6
3936133.5
1741182.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3034040100200500600700304395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#15
168.90.1
166.3166.4
Auto21.9
Teleop128.7
End20.5
blue by 26.7
195.61.1
190.5191.6
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
Second
135
#12
160.80.7
160.1159.5
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
blue by 22.2
182.91.7
187.0185.2
Auto23.0
Teleop129.0
End29.3
Third
6956
#30
113.60.0
112.7112.8
Auto17.6
Teleop83.4
End12.6
blue by 19.9
3936
#17
133.50.1
132.3132.2
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed55%Face the Boss oddsMissed