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Qual 542018 Indiana State Championship
Red203
4485149.6
1720149.2
5484140.5
Blue526
4272171.4
2867136.2
1024195.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325394100200500600700203526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#23
149.61.1
148.7→149.8
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
blue by 46.0
1024
#7
195.60.4
192.6→192.9
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
Second
1720
#21
149.20.9
153.5→152.6
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
blue by 22.3
4272
#2
171.41.4
164.7→166.1
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
Third
5484
#26
140.50.4
139.9→140.3
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
red by 4.2
2867
#18
136.21.4
137.8→136.5
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned