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Qual 562018 Indiana State Championship
Red359
829186.2
2171147.2
6956113.6
Blue368
234189.0
1529111.8
3176147.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341355250300400359368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#19
186.22.2
190.4→188.2
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
blue by 2.8
234
#6
189.00.4
187.3→187.7
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
Second
2171
#13
147.20.8
148.6→147.8
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
blue by 0.4
3176
#5
147.70.5
146.4→146.9
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
Third
6956
#30
113.60.3
113.1→113.4
Auto17.6
Teleop83.4
End12.6
red by 1.8
1529
#29
111.80.1
112.1→112.0
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed