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Red421
1501181.0
71176.7
3936129.1
Blue293
461131.0
4272148.0
4004118.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426267100200300500600700421293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.00.3
179.2179.5
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
red by 33.0
4272
#11
148.00.4
147.6148.0
Auto16.9
Teleop111.7
End19.0
Second
71
#2
176.70.1
175.9176.0
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
red by 45.7
461
#18
131.00.7
130.3131.0
Auto18.6
Teleop100.2
End13.8
Third
3936
#21
129.10.4
126.9127.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End22.4
red by 11.0
4004
#40
118.10.3
117.8118.1
Auto15.5
Teleop92.6
End10.5