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Red324
226153.1
7198117.8
1018152.0
Blue294
4103143.3
3176144.4
2405107.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299298280285290295305310315320324294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#13
153.18.1
116.8124.9
Auto21.4
Teleop110.8
End22.1
red by 8.7
3176
#19
144.411.0
106.1117.1
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End16.5
Second
152.010.3
114.8125.0
Auto22.3
Teleop112.6
End17.1
red by 8.8
4103
#12
143.310.3
113.3123.6
Auto17.8
Teleop110.1
End16.6
Third
7198
#30
117.812.4
77.790.1
Auto16.9
Teleop88.9
End11.8
red by 10.7
2405
#37
107.05.7
96.4102.1
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed