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Red325
1501181.0
3176144.4
226153.1
Blue349
4580122.1
71176.7
4103143.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432850100200400500600700325349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.06.5
142.0148.5
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
red by 4.3
71
#2
176.75.8
145.5151.2
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
Second
226
#13
153.11.6
131.5133.1
Auto21.4
Teleop110.8
End22.1
red by 9.9
4103
#12
143.31.2
130.6131.8
Auto17.8
Teleop110.1
End16.6
Third
3176
#19
144.45.6
124.7130.3
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End16.5
red by 22.3
4580
#28
122.10.5
112.0112.5
Auto17.6
Teleop91.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed