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Red383
71176.7
3865120.0
74148.9
Blue182
1018152.0
5484140.5
2405107.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331284100200400500383182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#2
176.75.9
151.2157.1
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
red by 24.6
152.04.5
138.6143.1
Auto22.3
Teleop112.6
End17.1
Second
74
#15
148.92.5
134.3136.8
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
red by 8.4
5484
#20
140.51.2
135.2136.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9
Third
3865
#23
120.01.8
106.0107.9
Auto18.5
Teleop87.7
End13.5
red by 13.0
2405
#37
107.00.0
110.9110.9
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed