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Red454
5484140.5
71176.7
1024180.3
Blue237
7198117.8
5403158.6
1555118.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602340100200300400500600454237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.311.8
113.8125.6
Auto20.8
Teleop132.6
End26.7
red by 21.7
5403
#16
158.614.1
92.2106.3
Auto23.6
Teleop116.3
End21.1
Second
71
#2
176.711.7
115.0126.7
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
red by 57.8
1555
#31
118.917.6
60.177.7
Auto12.8
Teleop95.1
End10.9
Third
5484
#20
140.50.0
131.9131.9
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9
red by 22.7
7198
#30
117.855.1
132.877.7
Auto16.9
Teleop88.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed