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Red225
4485136.2
3147125.4
3494142.8
Blue393
1555118.9
1501181.0
4272148.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290333100200400500600225393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#34
142.81.2
142.5143.7
Auto19.3
Teleop98.0
End26.4
blue by 38.3
181.04.6
148.5153.1
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
Second
4485
#22
136.20.8
126.8127.6
Auto18.1
Teleop103.6
End14.5
blue by 11.8
4272
#11
148.04.1
124.2128.2
Auto16.9
Teleop111.7
End19.0
Third
3147
#17
125.43.3
111.1114.4
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.4
red by 6.5
1555
#31
118.93.5
109.5112.9
Auto12.8
Teleop95.1
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed