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Red300
4272148.0
3940165.9
2197121.2
Blue354
3176144.4
135144.1
71176.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291369100200400500600300354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#10
165.93.0
152.2155.2
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End29.7
blue by 10.8
71
#2
176.73.9
162.1166.0
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
Second
4272
#11
148.03.4
132.6136.1
Auto16.9
Teleop111.7
End19.0
red by 3.6
3176
#19
144.42.6
138.0140.6
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End16.5
Third
2197
#32
121.20.4
117.2117.6
Auto17.4
Teleop88.4
End14.3
blue by 22.9
135
#24
144.10.0
140.3140.3
Auto16.4
Teleop113.0
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed