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Red180
1747142.2
4580122.1
226153.1
Blue364
2171147.5
3357192.2
45138.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092870100200400500600700180364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#13
153.112.8
104.0116.8
Auto21.4
Teleop110.8
End22.1
blue by 39.1
192.212.9
103.6116.5
Auto23.6
Teleop139.6
End28.5
Second
142.214.3
90.1104.4
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End7.2
blue by 5.3
147.516.3
71.988.2
Auto19.0
Teleop110.8
End20.6
Third
4580
#28
122.115.3
80.595.8
Auto17.6
Teleop91.3
End14.3
blue by 16.5
45
#14
138.515.2
81.997.1
Auto20.0
Teleop100.5
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned