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Red282
74148.9
3176144.4
6012118.9
Blue373
447135.2
1024180.3
292121.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331327250300350400450282373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#15
148.91.6
141.7143.3
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
blue by 31.4
180.30.6
172.1172.7
Auto20.8
Teleop132.6
End26.7
Second
3176
#19
144.41.5
140.6142.1
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End16.5
red by 9.2
447
#25
135.20.5
131.6131.2
Auto17.5
Teleop100.1
End19.1
Third
6012
#26
118.90.5
114.6115.1
Auto17.5
Teleop89.3
End14.2
blue by 2.6
292
#38
121.60.4
114.2114.6
Auto21.3
Teleop90.7
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed