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Red429
2171147.5
71176.7
3940165.9
Blue263
1018152.0
2867120.1
4004118.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429240100200300500600700429263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#2
176.72.2
168.3170.4
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
red by 24.6
152.00.2
146.0146.2
Auto22.3
Teleop112.6
End17.1
Second
3940
#10
165.92.5
158.1160.6
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End29.7
red by 45.8
2867
#27
120.10.4
116.3116.7
Auto18.5
Teleop87.6
End19.9
Third
147.52.2
141.1143.3
Auto19.0
Teleop110.8
End20.6
red by 29.4
4004
#40
118.12.4
111.6114.0
Auto15.5
Teleop92.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed