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Red401
3572116.1
3357192.2
226153.1
Blue344
5403158.6
1529121.6
292121.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375266100200300500600401344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.25.2
174.0179.2
Auto23.6
Teleop139.6
End28.5
red by 33.6
5403
#16
158.63.7
144.8148.5
Auto23.6
Teleop116.3
End21.1
Second
226
#13
153.12.5
145.7148.3
Auto21.4
Teleop110.8
End22.1
red by 31.5
1529
#39
121.61.5
123.5122.0
Auto11.2
Teleop99.1
End11.7
Third
3572
#35
116.11.1
116.0114.9
Auto15.6
Teleop91.6
End10.2
blue by 5.5
292
#38
121.60.9
114.6115.5
Auto21.3
Teleop90.7
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed