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Red234
4982133.3
45138.5
3936129.1
Blue421
5484140.5
503170.8
3147125.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290345100200400500234421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#14
138.51.7
133.4135.2
Auto20.0
Teleop100.5
End23.0
blue by 32.2
503
#9
170.83.3
161.7165.0
Auto23.6
Teleop129.3
End18.6
Second
4982
#29
133.30.8
132.1132.9
Auto15.4
Teleop102.8
End15.8
blue by 7.2
5484
#20
140.50.4
137.9138.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9
Third
3936
#21
129.10.4
124.2123.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End22.4
red by 3.6
3147
#17
125.40.4
120.3120.7
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed