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Red275
292121.6
45138.5
6721118.2
Blue402
4103143.3
3494142.8
5403158.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255396100200300500600275402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#14
138.50.6
135.2135.7
Auto20.0
Teleop100.5
End23.0
blue by 20.0
5403
#16
158.63.8
148.5152.3
Auto23.6
Teleop116.3
End21.1
Second
292
#38
121.62.0
115.5117.5
Auto21.3
Teleop90.7
End12.2
blue by 21.7
4103
#12
143.31.1
138.5139.6
Auto17.8
Teleop110.1
End16.6
Third
6721
#33
118.21.4
120.3118.9
Auto18.9
Teleop84.7
End13.8
blue by 24.6
3494
#34
142.80.5
142.5142.0
Auto19.3
Teleop98.0
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed