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Red188
2405107.0
4580122.1
74148.9
Blue456
3357192.2
6721118.2
3865120.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285368100200400500600188456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#15
148.90.9
148.8149.7
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
blue by 43.3
192.22.3
186.9189.1
Auto23.6
Teleop139.6
End28.5
Second
4580
#28
122.11.2
120.9122.1
Auto17.6
Teleop91.3
End14.3
red by 2.1
3865
#23
120.00.1
119.9120.0
Auto18.5
Teleop87.7
End13.5
Third
2405
#37
107.00.0
107.0107.0
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.8
blue by 11.1
6721
#33
118.20.5
118.7118.2
Auto18.9
Teleop84.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed