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Semifinal 2-22018 IN District St. Joseph Event
Red391
1501181.0
71176.7
3936129.1
Blue349
135144.1
2171147.5
447135.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404298100200500600700391349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#5
181.00.4
179.9→180.3
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
red by 33.6
2171
#4
147.50.4
147.1→147.5
Auto19.0
Teleop110.8
End20.6
Second
71
#2
176.70.2
176.1→176.3
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
red by 32.6
135
#24
144.10.3
143.8→144.1
Auto16.4
Teleop113.0
End14.9
Third
3936
#21
129.10.5
127.7→128.2
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End22.4
blue by 6.1
447
#25
135.20.3
134.9→135.2
Auto17.5
Teleop100.1
End19.1