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Red365
234185.2
868164.0
3947124.0
Blue277
829188.0
3940167.1
5188141.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361360250300400450500365277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#2
185.20.2
185.0185.2
Auto25.7
Teleop134.5
End27.1
blue by 2.7
829
#5
188.00.2
187.7188.0
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
Second
868
#1
164.00.9
163.2164.0
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End28.5
blue by 3.1
167.10.4
166.8167.1
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
Third
3947
#28
124.00.2
123.7124.0
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
blue by 17.4
5188
#25
141.40.2
141.6141.4
Auto16.9
Teleop113.1
End8.0