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Red380
3940167.1
4103157.5
4982131.2
Blue277
1646115.2
1024192.3
4008121.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33032702004006008001,000380277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.10.8
166.2165.4
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
blue by 25.2
1024
#11
192.31.5
181.2182.7
Auto21.3
Teleop142.0
End27.8
Second
157.51.1
144.1145.3
Auto21.6
Teleop116.1
End18.7
red by 36.1
4008
#21
121.415.2
78.393.5
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
Third
4982
#27
131.21.1
132.6131.5
Auto16.5
Teleop102.1
End9.0
red by 15.9
1646
#29
115.27.8
91.799.5
Auto18.0
Teleop81.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed