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Red220
2171156.2
3940167.1
3947124.0
Blue350
2771164.4
5010141.9
1720146.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3553090200400600800220350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.10.1
165.4165.3
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
red by 2.7
2771
#13
164.412.2
116.4128.6
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End25.8
Second
2171
#22
156.20.8
148.8149.6
Auto19.0
Teleop114.4
End22.2
red by 9.5
1720
#16
146.74.3
128.9133.3
Auto20.1
Teleop103.0
End25.3
Third
3947
#28
124.010.3
110.1120.4
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
blue by 18.0
5010
#14
141.914.6
84.398.9
Auto18.9
Teleop112.1
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed