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Red409
2197109.8
1741167.0
6451128.8
Blue41
4485143.7
5944111.7
1646115.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32227510020040050040941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.011.0
122.5133.5
Auto20.9
Teleop119.3
End28.5
red by 23.3
4485
#18
143.70.6
137.7138.4
Auto19.2
Teleop108.9
End15.9
Second
6451
#31
128.86.1
116.8122.9
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
red by 13.6
1646
#29
115.24.6
99.5104.1
Auto18.0
Teleop81.6
End15.4
Third
2197
#33
109.82.3
119.8117.4
Auto18.3
Teleop83.0
End8.5
blue by 2.0
5944
#34
111.75.5
108.2113.7
Auto15.6
Teleop88.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed