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Red422
3487155.4
1741167.0
6498128.5
Blue297
2960161.8
3936130.0
2867134.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347312100200400500600422297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.09.2
133.5142.7
Auto20.9
Teleop119.3
End28.5
red by 5.2
2960
#19
161.81.0
153.8154.8
Auto25.0
Teleop116.8
End16.8
Second
3487
#15
155.47.8
113.1121.0
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
red by 20.9
134.50.0
123.5123.5
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0
Third
6498
#24
128.50.6
118.5119.1
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
blue by 1.5
3936
#35
130.00.7
132.8133.5
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed