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Red279
4008121.4
6498128.5
4103157.5
Blue489
3947124.0
1741167.0
868164.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287362100200400500600279489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.51.9
148.5150.4
Auto21.6
Teleop116.1
End18.7
blue by 9.5
167.08.5
142.7151.2
Auto20.9
Teleop119.3
End28.5
Second
6498
#24
128.52.7
119.1121.8
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
blue by 35.5
868
#1
164.02.2
133.9136.1
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End28.5
Third
4008
#21
121.46.3
110.8117.1
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
blue by 2.6
3947
#28
124.01.6
126.2127.8
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed