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Red367
868164.0
1018166.7
5944111.7
Blue331
4485143.7
6451128.8
1024192.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337334250300350400450367331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.71.9
158.8160.7
Auto23.0
Teleop126.4
End17.3
blue by 25.6
1024
#11
192.30.2
186.5186.7
Auto21.3
Teleop142.0
End27.8
Second
868
#1
164.03.1
138.6141.6
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End28.5
red by 20.3
4485
#18
143.70.4
137.4137.8
Auto19.2
Teleop108.9
End15.9
Third
5944
#34
111.71.5
111.9113.4
Auto15.6
Teleop88.6
End3.5
blue by 17.1
6451
#31
128.80.6
133.1133.7
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed