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Red464
1646115.2
1747160.6
5403157.5
Blue193
6498128.5
4381146.8
3180120.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3153000100200400500600464193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#10
160.61.6
146.9148.5
Auto24.2
Teleop126.0
End10.1
red by 13.8
146.80.1
142.6142.4
Auto18.6
Teleop108.6
End19.9
Second
5403
#12
157.50.8
152.5151.7
Auto21.7
Teleop115.0
End20.6
red by 29.0
6498
#24
128.53.4
124.3127.7
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
Third
1646
#29
115.20.4
104.4103.9
Auto18.0
Teleop81.6
End15.4
blue by 4.9
3180
#32
120.23.0
132.4129.4
Auto16.6
Teleop89.6
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed