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Red392
5010141.9
829188.0
3180120.2
Blue261
2197109.8
3559146.6
3940167.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612960100200400500600700392261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#5
188.00.9
181.5182.4
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
red by 20.8
167.10.0
162.8162.8
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
Second
5010
#14
141.92.7
130.7133.4
Auto18.9
Teleop112.1
End10.9
blue by 4.6
3559
#17
146.63.9
140.6144.6
Auto20.9
Teleop115.1
End10.4
Third
3180
#32
120.23.0
129.4126.5
Auto16.6
Teleop89.6
End15.1
red by 10.4
2197
#33
109.80.8
114.6113.7
Auto18.3
Teleop83.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed