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Red231
4103157.5
6956113.0
6451128.8
Blue457
868164.0
5188141.4
3487155.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290379100200500600700231457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.51.2
153.3154.5
Auto21.6
Teleop116.1
End18.7
blue by 6.5
868
#1
164.03.0
141.6144.6
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End28.5
Second
6451
#31
128.80.9
133.7134.6
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
blue by 26.5
3487
#15
155.42.9
141.0143.9
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
Third
6956
#23
113.00.4
111.2111.6
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End16.5
blue by 28.3
5188
#25
141.42.5
134.0136.4
Auto16.9
Teleop113.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed