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Red286
2197109.8
1018166.7
4103157.5
Blue359
2867134.5
3940167.1
6498128.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355318100200400500600286359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.71.3
162.8164.2
Auto23.0
Teleop126.4
End17.3
blue by 0.4
167.10.7
162.8162.1
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
Second
157.50.7
154.5155.1
Auto21.6
Teleop116.1
End18.7
red by 23.0
134.51.6
125.8127.4
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0
Third
2197
#33
109.81.4
113.7112.4
Auto18.3
Teleop83.0
End8.5
blue by 18.8
6498
#24
128.50.1
128.6128.5
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned