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Red345
5188141.4
1747160.6
6451128.8
Blue127
2771164.4
6498128.5
4982131.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346294100200400500600345127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#10
160.61.6
156.7158.3
Auto24.2
Teleop126.0
End10.1
blue by 3.9
2771
#13
164.42.7
160.7163.4
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End25.8
Second
5188
#25
141.42.4
139.7142.1
Auto16.9
Teleop113.1
End8.0
red by 10.2
4982
#27
131.20.6
132.1132.7
Auto16.5
Teleop102.1
End9.0
Third
6451
#31
128.81.8
132.1130.2
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
red by 0.3
6498
#24
128.50.4
129.3129.7
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed