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Red396
1720146.7
4008121.4
4381146.8
Blue244
3936130.0
6451128.8
4926120.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362266100200300400500600396244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.81.8
143.9145.6
Auto18.6
Teleop108.6
End19.9
red by 16.8
3936
#35
130.00.4
130.5130.1
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End18.2
Second
1720
#16
146.70.6
147.1146.5
Auto20.1
Teleop103.0
End25.3
red by 17.9
6451
#31
128.81.4
130.2128.8
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
Third
4008
#21
121.40.0
121.4121.4
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
red by 1.3
4926
#30
120.10.7
119.4120.1
Auto14.5
Teleop93.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed