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Red261
4982131.2
1741167.0
2960161.8
Blue384
5010141.9
1747160.6
3947124.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373220100200400500600700261384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.00.5
166.8167.3
Auto20.9
Teleop119.3
End28.5
red by 6.4
1747
#10
160.61.3
158.3159.6
Auto24.2
Teleop126.0
End10.1
Second
2960
#19
161.80.6
161.3161.9
Auto25.0
Teleop116.8
End16.8
red by 19.9
5010
#14
141.92.0
138.6140.7
Auto18.9
Teleop112.1
End10.9
Third
4982
#27
131.20.7
132.7132.0
Auto16.5
Teleop102.1
End9.0
red by 7.2
3947
#28
124.00.7
123.5122.8
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed