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Red242
234185.2
3487155.4
3559146.6
Blue447
1720146.7
3940167.1
829188.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3424000100200300500600700800242447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#2
185.20.6
183.7184.2
Auto25.7
Teleop134.5
End27.1
blue by 2.7
829
#5
188.00.5
185.6186.1
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
Second
3487
#15
155.42.3
151.7154.1
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
blue by 11.8
167.11.4
162.5163.9
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
Third
3559
#17
146.60.6
147.1146.6
Auto20.9
Teleop115.1
End10.4
blue by 0.2
1720
#16
146.70.0
146.5146.5
Auto20.1
Teleop103.0
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned