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Red255
1747171.1
1741187.0
1529110.3
Blue319
1501172.8
868184.7
7198120.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368317200400500600255319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.00.5
186.5187.0
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
red by 2.3
868
#2
184.70.3
184.4184.7
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
Second
171.10.5
170.6171.1
Auto22.2
Teleop136.1
End12.2
blue by 1.7
172.80.2
172.9172.8
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
Third
1529
#36
110.30.2
110.1110.3
Auto10.3
Teleop86.9
End14.4
blue by 10.5
7198
#30
120.80.0
120.8120.8
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5