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Red261
1501172.8
868184.7
7198120.8
Blue452
5484140.4
4272157.1
3494136.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393306100200500600700261452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
184.70.4
182.6182.9
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
red by 27.6
4272
#10
157.10.1
156.8156.9
Auto21.4
Teleop114.9
End23.6
Second
172.80.2
174.3174.0
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
red by 32.4
5484
#24
140.40.2
140.0140.1
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
Third
7198
#30
120.80.0
120.7120.8
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
blue by 15.7
3494
#17
136.50.2
136.0136.2
Auto17.2
Teleop94.5
End26.9