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Red470
1720152.6
829199.2
3487156.7
Blue173
461147.0
5403167.2
1646125.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433300100200400500600700470173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#3
199.20.2
198.2198.4
Auto22.1
Teleop152.2
End25.3
red by 32.1
167.20.0
167.3167.3
Auto23.0
Teleop121.4
End24.0
Second
3487
#16
156.70.1
156.2156.2
Auto19.4
Teleop115.6
End21.8
red by 9.6
461
#12
147.00.2
146.8147.0
Auto19.5
Teleop109.0
End19.9
Third
152.60.4
150.9151.3
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
red by 27.5
1646
#27
125.10.3
124.5124.8
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End18.3