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Red252
45133.4
1720152.6
3487156.7
Blue408
1747171.1
868184.7
4272157.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274422100200500600700800252408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#16
156.70.0
155.9155.9
Auto19.4
Teleop115.6
End21.8
blue by 28.0
868
#2
184.72.3
169.4171.8
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
Second
152.60.4
146.6146.2
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
blue by 18.5
171.10.7
161.0160.3
Auto22.2
Teleop136.1
End12.2
Third
45
#31
133.40.5
139.8140.2
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
blue by 23.7
4272
#10
157.11.2
150.6151.8
Auto21.4
Teleop114.9
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned