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Red365
3865116.0
447149.0
6451132.5
Blue129
1555112.0
5484140.4
7198120.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883170100200400500600365129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#6
149.00.0
138.7138.7
Auto18.4
Teleop111.1
End21.0
red by 8.6
5484
#24
140.40.6
138.5137.9
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
Second
6451
#23
132.50.2
127.1126.9
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End14.7
red by 11.7
7198
#30
120.80.3
120.2120.5
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
Third
3865
#35
116.00.6
119.3118.8
Auto17.0
Teleop86.0
End13.4
red by 4.1
1555
#19
112.00.2
117.6117.8
Auto14.1
Teleop84.9
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed