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Red343
5188143.4
5403167.2
1555112.0
Blue275
3147138.6
292139.4
4008126.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3592960100200400500600343275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.21.0
164.6165.5
Auto23.0
Teleop121.4
End24.0
red by 27.8
292
#13
139.42.2
129.8132.1
Auto21.8
Teleop102.5
End17.7
Second
5188
#15
143.40.2
142.2142.0
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End18.5
red by 4.8
3147
#14
138.60.7
130.1130.8
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0
Third
1555
#19
112.00.6
117.2116.6
Auto14.1
Teleop84.9
End14.4
blue by 14.1
4008
#21
126.10.4
123.7124.2
Auto18.9
Teleop87.9
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed