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Red419
1501172.8
5484140.4
5010163.6
Blue151
6012121.1
4926123.3
5188143.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399239100200300500600700419151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.82.3
181.2178.9
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
red by 29.3
5188
#15
143.40.2
142.0141.8
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End18.5
Second
163.62.3
147.5149.9
Auto22.0
Teleop124.3
End19.2
red by 40.3
4926
#26
123.30.3
122.0122.3
Auto18.1
Teleop91.8
End17.0
Third
5484
#24
140.40.2
135.9135.8
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
red by 19.3
6012
#28
121.10.2
125.0125.2
Auto17.8
Teleop88.5
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed