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Red205
71170.4
45133.4
3865116.0
Blue443
1741187.0
3487156.7
3655125.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330363200250300400450500550205443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#18
170.41.0
179.2178.2
Auto20.8
Teleop126.5
End21.9
blue by 16.6
187.02.0
175.8177.8
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
Second
45
#31
133.40.0
139.7139.7
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
blue by 23.3
3487
#16
156.70.8
156.1155.3
Auto19.4
Teleop115.6
End21.8
Third
3865
#35
116.00.5
119.5119.9
Auto17.0
Teleop86.0
End13.4
blue by 9.3
3655
#20
125.40.8
117.2118.1
Auto17.5
Teleop96.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsMissed